News-driven international credit cycles
نویسندگان
چکیده
How does news about future economic fundamentals affect within-country and cross-country credit allocation? effective is unconventional policy when financial crises are driven by unfulfilled favorable news? I study these questions employing a two-sector, two-country macroeconomic model with banking sector in which associated occasionally binding leverage constraints. In response to positive on the valuation of non-traded capital turns out be incorrect at later date, captures patterns flows current account dynamics Spain between 2000–2010, including changes sectoral allocation bank movements borrowing during boom bust. When there policies common authority news, liquidity injections perform better ameliorating downturn than direct assets purchases from sector.
منابع مشابه
New Evidence on News-Driven Business Cycles
We study the Beaudry and Portier (2006)-hypothesis of delayed-technology diffusion and news-driven business cycles. For German data on TFP and stock prices we find qualitatively similar empirical evidence. Quantitatively, however, an impulse response analysis suggests that a substantial part of the total TFP response is immediate rather than delayed. We relate this to disembodied technological ...
متن کاملInformation Flows and News Driven Business Cycles
How do information flows influence business cycle dynamics in models with anticipated (news shocks) and unanticipated innovations? To address this question, we show how alternative specifications of news affect the equilibrium by deriving the mapping between news shocks and the endogenous variables in a simple analytical model. News shocks are shown to add moving average (MA) components to endo...
متن کاملFlight Home , Flight Abroad and International Credit Cycles
This paper shows that banks exhibit a weaker (stronger) home bias in the extension of new loans when funding conditions in their home country improve (deteriorate). We refer to these changes in home bias as flight abroad and flight home effects, respectively, and show that they are unrelated to the better known flight to quality effect that arises during periods of market turmoil. Our results a...
متن کاملCredit Search and Credit Cycles
The supply and demand of credit are not always well aligned and matched, as is reflected in the countercyclical excess reserve-to-deposit ratio and interest spread between the lending rate and the deposit rate. We develop a search-based theory of credit allocation to explain the cyclical fluctuations in bank reserves, the interest spread, as well as credit rationing. We show that search frictio...
متن کاملCredit Traps and Credit Cycles
We develop a simple model of credit market imperfections, in which the agents have access to a variety of investment projects, which differ in productivity, in the investment size, and in the severity of the agency problems behind the borrowing constraints. A movement in borrower net worth can shift the composition of the credit between projects with different productivity levels. The model thu...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Macroeconomics
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['1873-152X', '0164-0704']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmacro.2021.103372